Chutzpah, Inc.
"The Brave People of Iran" (versus the Disappeared People of Palestine, Honduras, Afghanistan, Etc.)
Chutzpah, Inc.: "The Brave People of
Edward S. Herman and David Peterson
It is almost a commonplace, at least for the real—as opposed to the cruise-missile—left, that the flow of information, opinion, and moral indignation in the
This chutzpah is in full bloom in a full-page ad in the February 7 New York Times and February 9 International Herald Tribune addressed to Barack Obama, Nicolas Sarkozy, Dimitry Medvedev, Gordon Brown and Angela Merkel: "How Long Can We Stand Idly By and Watch This Scandal in Iran Unfold?"[1] The ad was sponsored by "The Elie Wiesel Foundation For Humanity," and signed by 44 Nobel Prize laureates, 42 of them men and a substantial fraction Jewish. The ad attacks Iran's "cruel and oppressive regime" for its "shameless war against its own people" and its "irresponsible and senseless nuclear ambitions [that] threaten the entire world," and calls upon Washington, Paris, Moscow, London, and Berlin, the UN Security Council, and "important NGOs" to impose “harsher sanctions” on Iran, and adopt "concrete measures...to protect this new nation of dissidents…." "They must know that we are on their side," the ad implores. "All of us who care must offer our full support and solidarity to the brave people of
This open letter is a shameless and demagogic call for foreign intervention in Iran, for destabilization and subversion, and, above all, for war—although three of the signers (including Wiesel) are past recipients of the Nobel Peace Prize,[2] and the text could have been written by the Foreign Office of the state of Israel. Indeed, Wiesel himself is an unabashed protagonist for Israel, having long proclaimed his unwillingness to make a public criticism of that country ("I never attack, never criticize Israel when I am not in Israel"[3]), so that we can rest assured that his "Foundation for Humanity" will never proclaim its solidarity with any humans living under the Israeli boot. The Wiesel Foundation did not sponsor a full-page ad in the New York Times to protest Israel's shameless and criminal onslaught against the Gaza Palestinians in early 2009, which in just three weeks killed some 340 children, a greater number than the aggregate of protester deaths in post-election Iran.[4] Nor will it sponsor an ad that criticizes the irresponsible buildup of nuclear weapons that Israel has accomplished outside the Non-Proliferation Treaty, and that pose a much clearer threat to the world than that posed by the still nuclear-weapon-free Iran, which is under steady threat of attack by Israel and by a U.S. leadership that says "all options" remain on the table. That Wiesel and his "Foundation for Humanity" could get 43 other Nobel laureates to sign this hysterical, hypocritical, and morally degraded war-call is a sad indication of the state of the reigning Western intellectual culture in 2010.
This ad also raises once again the important question of what the people of
The June 2009 election was declared a massive fraud in the establishment Western media and even on the liberal-left, with many alleging that
Thus in the June 24, 2005 presidential runoff between Ahmadinejad and the former Iranian President Ayatollah Ali Akbar Rafsanjani (1989-1997), Ahmadinejad won by roughly a 2-to-1 margin, receiving 62% of the vote, compared to Rafsanjani's 32% (see Table 1).[11] At the time, no one seriously contended that this result was based on electoral fraud.[12]
Then, during the run-up to the 2009 election, an opinion poll completed by three U.S. groups just three weeks before the vote found that for those Iranians willing to commit themselves, Ahmadinejad would beat Mousavi by better than a 2-to-1 margin (34% - 14%),[13] a slightly higher ratio of victory than the official election results as reported by the Interior Ministry on June 13 (63% - 34%).[14]
Table 1: Iranian Public Opinion Through June 12, 2009
|
|
Mahmoud Ahmadinejad |
Mir Hussein Mousavi |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Table 2: Iranian Public Opinion After June 12, 2009
|
|
Mahmoud Ahmadinejad |
Mir Hussein Mousavi |
|
June 18-25, 2009 UT Poll, Q18.a: "Who did you vote for in this election?"[16] |
61% |
30% |
|
June 19-24, 2009, GlobeScan Poll, Q2: "Which of the following candidates did you vote for?"[17] |
56% |
32% |
|
July 13-15, 2009 UT Poll, Q18.a: "Who did you vote for in this election?"[18] |
66% |
25% |
|
Aug. 27 - Sept. 10 PIPA - WPO Poll, Q20: "Who did you vote for?"[19] |
|
|
In the most careful of these surveys, carried out by PIPA - WPO.org from August 27 through September 10, researchers asked this additional question: "If the same election were to be repeated tomorrow, who would you vote for?" This time, 49% of the respondents named Ahmadinejad, compared to only 8% Mousavi.[20] Notice that in contrast to how the beliefs and attitudes of Iran's 70 million citizens tend to be depicted in the establishment Western media, with their saturation focus on "opposition" street demonstrators and repression by the Iranian state, none of the responses to these (and many other) questions suggest a badly delegitimized government in the eyes of Iran's citizens. As we wrote last October, the "combined results of the Terror Free Tomorrow poll in May, Iran's official election results in June, and the results of the PIPA-WPO poll in September, clearly reinforce each other, just as they reinforce the conclusion that Ahmadinejad was the actual winner in Iran's 2009 presidential election, independently of whether some vote fraud did occur."[21] Indeed, PIPA now draws the same conclusion: That "even if some fraud did occur, it is not clear that the outcome would have been fundamentally different."[22] Nor is it clear that in terms of violating the basic democratic rights of its citizens,
The late June 2009 Chatham House analysis, which cast doubts on
Overall, the 12 opinion surveys analyzed by PIPA do show that as levels of education, Internet use, reliance on non-Iranian media for news, and the youthfulness of respondents increases, so did support for Mousavi, just as Mousavi retained an edge over Ahmadinejad in Tehran City and even Tehran Province.[26] Nevertheless, these clear trends were not sufficient to produce majorities in favor of Mousavi (even in Tehran City), Iran's non-Internet-using and rural voting populations are larger in number, and Ahmadinejad has apparently enjoyed majority support among all age groups (even youth), among women as well as men (though less among men than women), among urban as well as rural voters (though less among the urban than the rural), and among the two largest ethnic minorities (the Azeris and Turkmen).[27] As we have noted, opinion surveys both before and after the election gave Ahmadinejad these same majorities, and all of them are consistent with the official result.
Ahmadinejad's 2-to-1 victory over Rafsanjani in 2005 surprised many foreign pundits, but it was not met by street demonstrations inside
By now, the standard claims about Iran's "stolen election" have been repeated so many times by the establishment Western media, as well as by those on the left who took-the-bait, that almost everybody is hooked on it and unable to wiggle free.[29] Undoubtedly, many foreign activists sincerely believe that they are supporting democracy inside Iran, and large numbers of Iranian dissidents truly are struggling for a more open and decent society and political order. But if Iran's 2009 official election result is valid, and if there is strong majority support among Iran's citizens for the structure and general character of its Islamic Republic,[30] then these foreign activists, including the collection of Nobel laureates gathered around Wiesel, and those on the left who like to invoke "solidarity with the anti-Ahmadinejad movement," clearly are not aligned with majority opinion inside Iran. We are not quite sure what to call this toxic mix of opposing the majority will of a foreign country's citizens and doing so in the name of "democracy," while feeding into the regime-change program of the
The huge attention given to Iran's 2009 election and its aftermath,[31] and the indignation vented over its "stolen" character, can only be explained by the convergence between this focus and the long-term U.S.-Israeli hostility towards Iran—their demonization of the leaders of the Islamic Republic, and their steady efforts to destabilize Iran and force it to change in a manner to their liking. It is also of interest that less democratic elections in countries such as Egypt and Saudi Arabia, the August and October 2009 "demonstration elections" in U.S.-occupied Afghanistan, and even the coup in Honduras in late June and the subsequent terror-laced "demonstration election" there in late November, were treated in the West with nowhere near the same level of attention or indignation. The focus on
---- Endnotes ----
[1] See "How Long Can We Stand Idly By and Watch This Scandal in Iran Unfold?" The Elie Wiesel Foundation for Humanity, as published in the New York Times, February 7, 2010, and in the International Herald Tribune, February 9, 2010; posted here to the website of the Wiesel Foundation.
[2] Besides Elie Wiesel (1986), the other two Nobel Peace Prize recipients who signed the Foundation's call for war against
[3] Wiesel, in an interview with the Jewish Post & Opinion, November 19, 1982, quoted in Noam Chomsky, Fateful Triangle: The United States, Israel, and the Palestinians, Updated Ed. (Cambridge, MA: South End Press, 1999), p. 16. The full quote reads: "I support
[4] See Richard Goldstone et al., Human Rights in Palestine and Other Occupied Arab Territories, Report of the United Nations Fact Finding Mission on the Gaza Conflict (A/HRC/12/48), UN Human Rights Council, September 15, 2009, para. 30, which estimates that the "overall number of [Palestinians] killed [were] between 1,387 and 1,417," as well as three Israeli civilians inside
[5] See, e.g., Barbara Slavin, "Iran regime likely shaken for good," Washington Times, June 16, 2009; Yigal Schleifer, "Why Iran's Twitter revolution is unique," Christian Science Monitor, June 19, 2009; Stephen Zunes, "The Iranian Uprising Is Homegrown, and Must Stay that Way," ZNet, June 19, 2009; Reese Erlich, "Iran and Leftist Confusion," CommonDreams, June 28, 2009; Stephen Zunes, "Iran's Do-It-Yourself Revolution," Foreign Policy In Focus, June 29, 2009; Stephen R. Shalom et al., "Question & Answer on the Iran Crisis," Campaign for Peace and Democracy, July 7, 2009; Saeed Rahnema, "The Tragedy of the Left's Discourse on Iran," ZNet, July 9, 2009; Mehrdad Samadzadeh, "Iran's Revolution," ZNet, July 9, 2009; and Farooq Sulehria, "Ahmadinajad and the anti-imperialism of fools," ZNet, July 9, 2009.
[6] "Neither Real Nor Free," Editorial,
[7] See Ali Ansari et al., Preliminary Analysis of the Voting Figures in Iran's 2009 Presidential Election, Chatham House (U.K.), June 21, 2009, p. 3, p. 10.—For a critique of the Chatham House study, see Reza Esfandiari and Yousef Bozorgmehr, A Rejoinder to the Chatham House report on Iran's 2009 presidential election offering a new analysis on the results (Self-Published PDF), Summer, 2009.
[8] Juan Cole, "Chatham House Study Definitively Shows Massive Ballot Fraud in Iran's Reported Results," Informed Comment, June 22, 2009.
[9] Michael Slackman, "Amid Crackdown, Iran Admits Voting Errors," New York Times, June 23, 2009.
[10] Shalom et al., "Question & Answer on the Iran Crisis," Point No. 3.
[11] For the results of
[12] For some analysis of Iran's June 2005 presidential election results, see Ali Akbar Dareni, "Analysts: Rafsanjani Turned Off the Poor," Associated Press, June 27, 2005; Gordon Robison, "The loser in Iran was the Western media," Daily Star, June 28, 2005; Christian Oliver, "Iran election result a shock due to flawed analysis," Reuters, June 28, 2005; and Michael Slackman, "Iran's Reformists Link Defeat to a Split From the Poor," New York Times, July 7, 2005.
[13] See Results of a New Nationwide Public Opinion Survey of Iran before the June 12, 2009 Presidential Elections, (May 11 - 20), Terror Free Tomorrow, Center for Public Opinion, and New America Foundation, Q27, p. 52. Also see Ken Ballen and Patrick Doherty, "The Iranian People Speak," Washington Post, June 15, 2009.
[14] As reported by
[15] See Steven Kull et al., An Analysis of Multiple Polls of the Iranian Public, PIPA - WPO.org, February 3, 2010; Steven Kull et al., Iranian Public on Current Issues: Questionnaires, PIPA - WPO.org, February 3, 2010; and the accompanying Press Release.
[16] See the "University of
[17] See "The GlobeScan Survey," in Iranian Public on Current Issues: Questionnaires, PIPA - WPO.org, February 3, 2010, pp. 19-24; here Q2, p. 19.
[18] See "
[19] See "The WorldPublicOpinion.org Survey," in Iranian Public on Current Issues: Questionnaires, PIPA - WPO.org, February 3, 2010, pp. 1-18; here Q20, p. 10.
[20] Ibid, Q23, p. 11. Other revealing questions included:
Q18. "In general, how satisfied are you with the process by which the authorities are elected in this country?" (pp. 9-10). In February 2008, 62% responded either "very" or "somewhat" satisfied; 28% responded either "not very" or "not at all" satisfied. In September 2009, 81% responded either "very" or "somewhat" satisfied; 16% responded either "not very" or "not at all" satisfied.
Q21. "How free and fair do you think this election was?" (p. 10). 83% responded either "completely" or "somewhat"; 10% responded either "not very free and fair" or "not free and fair at all."
Q22. "How much confidence do you have in the declared election results?" (p. 11). 83% responded either "a lot" or "some"; 13% responded either "not much" or "no confidence at all."
Q24. "Considering everything that has occurred before, during, and after the election, do you consider Ahmadinejad to be the legitimate President of Iran?" (p. 11). 81% responded "Yes"; 10% responded "No."
[21] Edward S. Herman and David Peterson, "The Iran Versus U.A.-NATO-Israeli Threats," MRZine, October 20, 2009, note 36.
[22] Steven Kull et al., An Analysis of Multiple Polls of the Iranian Public, PIPA - WPO.org, February 3, 2010, p. 2. As PIPA quite plausibly adds: "The margin of error in polling is generally not small enough to rule out the possibility of any fraud. It is possible that some fraud occurred and that Ahmadinejad would have won if fraud had not occurred" (p. 5).
[23] See Jamie Fellner and Marc Mauer, Losing the Vote: The Impact of Felony Disenfranchisement Laws in the United States, The Sentencing Project and Human Rights Watch, October, 1998; and Ryan S. King, Expanding the Vote: State Felony Disenfranchisement Reform, 1997-2008, The Sentencing Project, September, 2008. When the first of these two reports was published, some two years prior to the November 2000 U.S. presidential election, the state of Florida was one of ten U.S. states that disenfranchised even ex-felons for life (along with Alabama, Delaware, Iowa, Kentucky, Mississippi, Nevada, New Mexico, Virginia, and Wyoming) (p. 5). The 1998 report added that, at the time, "
[24] See George W. Bush et al. v. Albert Gore, Jr. et al., On Application For Stay, U.S. Supreme Court, December 9, 2000; here quoting Justice Antonin Scalia's concurring opinion, p. 2.
[25] Factiva database searches carried out on February 18, 2010, using the following parameters: (a) For the Chatham House analysis: rst=(twir or tnwp) and Iran and Chatham House for the period June 21, 2009 - February 14, 2010; and (b) for the PIPA - WPO.org survey and subsequent analysis: rst=(twir or tnwp) and Iran and (program on international policy attitudes or worldpublicopinion) for the period September 19, 2009 - February 17, 2010. We found two substantive reports and one mentions-in-passing of the PIPA - WPO.org survey released on September 19, 2009. (See "Most Iranians favor ties with US but distrust Obama: poll," Agence France Presse, September 19, 2009; Jim Lobe, "Iran: New Poll Finds Strong Domestic Support for Regime," Inter Press Service, September 19, 2009; Tara Mahtafar, "Why Iran's missile tests may not play well in Tehran," Christian Science Monitor, September 28, 2009.) We found zero mentions of the later PIPA - WPO.org analysis.
[26] Kull et al., An Analysis of Multiple Polls of the Iranian Public, Appendix II, "Demographic Variations in Voting Preferences," p. 30, p. 28.
[27] Ibid, pp. 27-28.
[28] Ibid, "The Nature of the Opposition," pp. 17-22; here p. 17, p. 20. Of course, it would be wrong to equate Mousavi supporters as a group with the so-called "Green Movement" as a group. But as we know of no opinion survey of the "Green Movement" as such, we are forced to adopt Mousavi supporters as a proxy for the opposition.
[29] For a critique of this phenomenon, see Edward S. Herman and David Peterson, "Riding the 'Green Wave' at the Campaign for Peace and Democracy and Beyond," MRZine, July 24, 2009.
[30] See Steven Kull et al., Iranian Public on Current Issues, PIPA - WPO.org, September 19, 2009, esp. "Views of Iran's Government and Society," pp. 8-12; Steven Kull et al., Questionnaire, August 27 - September 10, 2009, esp. Q18 - Q29; and the accompanying Press Release. The relevant data from this opinion survey were repeated in PIPA's comprehensive February 3, 2010 analysis.
[31] According to the Project for Excellence in Journalism, Iran coverage in the 48 news media that the PEJ monitors increased by 317% in the first 10 months of 2009 from the prior year, Iran being the second-most-frequently reported foreign story for the period, after Afghanistan. "Due primarily to the disputed June 12 elections and the subsequent protests and unrest," the PEJ explains, "attention to
[ Edward S. Herman and David Peterson, "Chutzpah, Inc.: 'The Brave People of Iran' (versus the Disappeared People of Palestine, Honduras, Afghanistan, Etc.)," ZNet, February 20, 2010. ]


