Donâ€™t look now, but Bushâ€™s house-of-cards economy is about to come crashing to earth. Just yesterday the Commerce Dept announced that the trade deficit soared to an all time high of $665 billion in 2004; a whopping 25% increase from the previous year. Americaâ€™s gluttonous appetite for cheap foreign goods and its inability to produce more of what it consumes is quickening the countryâ€™s inevitable day of reckoning. Despite the rosy projections from the Bush clan and their friends in the media, the probability of an economic meltdown becomes more likely every day. Does the average American have any idea of the catastrophe thatâ€™s facing us?
Apparently, not. As the APâ€™s Martin Crutsinger says, â€œThe deficit for 2004 was not only a record in dollar terms but also as a percentage of the total U.S. economy, climbing to 5.7 percent of the gross domestic product, up from 4.8 percent of GDP (news - web sites) in 2003. (By way of comparison; Argentina collapsed when its trade deficit hit 4% of GDP)
The deficit represents the amount in resources that the United States is transferring into the hands of foreigners in exchange for foreign oil, cars and other products that Americans are purchasing.â€
So, $665 billion of American assets fled the country in just one year alone! How long do you think a nation (however strong) can keep up that pace?
The danger is that central banks across the globe will start backing away from US greenbacks; a fact thatâ€™s already reflected by the steadily falling dollar.
Of course, there are ways to prop up the dollar and stabilize the economy. Reverse the Bush tax cuts that are plunging the country towards disaster; reinvest in the industrial sector so America can start manufacturing things again; raise interest rates to build confidence in the dollar, and tighten up government expenses to show the world some fiscal responsibility.
Of course, none of these will happen. We know from experience that when the Bush administration is headed over the cliff, the first thing they do is hit the gas. The same suicidal scenario is unfolding now.
For example, two days ago Fed-master Alan Greenspan was addressing the Council on Foreign Relations (CFR) saying the greatest threat to Americaâ€™s economic future was the huge deficits. (Ironic that Greenspan would concede this point, given his unflinching support for the Bush tax cuts) At the same time Greenspan was making his presentation, the Republican House was proposing a budget that would provide ANOTHER $106 BILLION TAX CUTS FOR AMERICAâ€™S RICHEST PEOPLE.
Donâ€™t expect to see any change in this behavior either. What seemed like a crazy conspiracy theory just two years ago is now a documented fact; the Bush Administration (with the help of Greenspan) is trying to bankrupt the nation and put the American people under the control of the countryâ€™s creditors. (Greenspanâ€™s friends in the banking industry and foreign countries holding US bonds) So far, theyâ€™ve done a bang-up job by racking up another $3 trillion in debt in just 4 years by looting the US Treasury and jeopardizing the dollarâ€™s status as the worldâ€™s reserve currency. If the world moves en masse away from the dollar (as it may, if Bush goes ahead with his twisted plan for attacking Iran) the US will rapidly devolve into a third world nation.
Currently, the dollar is underwritten by $8 trillion of debt; which explains why world banks are dumping their holdings. The only thread holding the economy together is (artificially) low interest rates, cheap oil and $450 billion of tax cuts that are sluiced back into the economy. (according to Supply-side theory) When these three buckle beneath the weight of the increasing debt load, the American dream will go up like a pillar of black smoke from a Baghdad pipeline.
From this viewpoint, it looks like Greenspan is intentionally keeping interest rates low so Bush can keep his (war) date with Iran. (probably just months away) When the Fed-chief finally pulls the rug out from under us and raises rates to save the dollar, housing will grind to a halt and America will stumble into recession, or worse.
No wiggle-room in the oil market
As if the deficits and the falling dollar were not enough to worry about, oil surged to a new high yesterday of $56.10 a barrel. When supply canâ€™t meet demand, oil can go from $56 bbl to $156 bbl in short order. (These numbers donâ€™t surprise anyone who has followed the peak oil issue, and they were certainly anticipated by the administration before the invasion of Iraq. Oil companies spend zillions on flow-charts, global projections and available stockpiles. Thereâ€™s no doubt that they knew that this day was coming and fabricated the WMD scare to bamboozle the public into an unnecessary war) The Bush administration doesnâ€™t intend to allow that to happen. They know that recession is typically preceded by an up tick in energy prices, so they have to nip the problem in the bud. A sharp downturn in the economy would foil Bushâ€™s plans for an attack on Iran.
White House press secretary, Scott McClellan was asked a question at Mondayâ€™s press conference that shed some light on the administrationâ€™s strategy for dealing with potential oil shortages:
â€œSeveral OPEC oil members have said that they've received phone calls from Energy Secretary Bodman. I was wondering if you could just confirm that the Energy Secretary is, indeed, lobbying OPEC to lift production? And also, my second question is, has President Bush joined in this effort?â€
Yes, Bush has quietly joined the effort by pressuring the Saudiâ€™s to push the other OPEC members to crank up production another 1 million barrels a day. But, what does that say about long term production when the system is already operating at maximum capacity?
Gasoline stocks have fallen precipitously and Reuters is reporting that, â€œstrong demand forecasts have exacerbated concern that cartel (OPEC) supply may not be able to meet growing global demand later this year.â€ â€œSupply may not meet demand?â€
Itâ€™s only 2005 and already the demand for oil is exceeding the (normal) supply? And, what is Bushâ€™s response to this new state of affairs?
Hide it from the American people, so he can continue with his war-agenda.
Unbelievable. Welcome, Fellow Sharecroppers! This is a very serious situation. America is facing a calamity of incalculable magnitude and, yet, the government keeps obfuscating the facts while the media oozes its reassuring platitudes that â€œall is wellâ€.
All is not well. Staggering deficits, rising energy costs and the falling dollar are bearing down on us like a rock-slide. Looks like weâ€™re headed for some pretty dark times.
Sorry to say it, but weâ€™re toast.