US Failure in Iraq & Iraqi Opinion on Withdrawal
I'd suggest rethinking the term "failure." In occupied Europe, the Nazis were extremely successful. They imposed client governments which ran the countries including the security forces, with Germany always in the background, but not much involved. The partisans were very courageous, but would have been wiped out without massive foreign support. Russia was even more successful in Eastern Europe. Plenty of other cases. The issue is not success or failure in such cases. Or Iraq.
…No serious person pays the slightest attention to stated objectives of great power(s). They carry precisely zero information, because they are entirely predictable: nobility of purpose. That's true of even the worst monsters.
In this case, there is every reason to accept the view of the overwhelming majority of Iraqis expressed in US-run polls: that the goals are to control Iraq's resources and to use Iraq as a base for extending US control over the world's energy resources. It's true that we are sternly instructed to believe that the US would have "liberated" Iraq even if it was producing pickles and lettuce. It takes North Korean-style subordination to authority to accept the Party Line in this case.
There's very good reason to believe that the US will continue, as until now, to do anything it can to prevent realization of the "stated
objectives": democracy and sovereignty. It's sufficient to consider what the policies of a sovereign democratic Iraq would be: an utter nightmare for Washington.
… The Kurds would doubtless prefer for the US to stay, as long as the US doesn't once again betray them, as it has done, repeatedly, in the past. The Sunnis, about as numerous as the Kurds, doubtless want the US out. As for the Shiites, it's not so simple. The Sadrists have called for withdrawal. The last poll I know of was on the eve of the election: about 70% of Shiites favored US withdrawal immediately or right after the January elections. The National Sovereignty Commission of the Parliament recently issued a report calling for a timetable for withdrawal of the "occupation forces." The main Shiite Party in the South, SCIRI, just demanded that the British troops there stay in their barracks. According to Steven Kull, one of the most respected polling experts in the country, the International Republican Institute, which had been taking regular polls, stopped reporting them after the elections because of the results they were finding.
It's correct that an occupying army has no rights, only responsibilities, including the responsibility to pay massive reparations and to withdraw unless there is powerful evidence that the population wants them to stay. I don't see evidence of that. And the decision should be made by the victims. We have little to say about it, whatever our subjective judgments, as a matter of principle.
We have to stay...
By Gkoss, Gil at Feb 18, 2007 16:11 PM
We're in a real mess in Iraq.
We can't win complete control, and our Troops are suffering casualties, although not nearly as many as in past wars.
We can't leave!
While getting control of the resources of Iraq was probably the main reason for invasion, the occupation after the battle, was completely screwed up. The planning doesn't seem to have been very deep.
Because of Iraq's lack of any significant military force, our leaving would open up the country to the nation that could move the fastest. Iraq sits on a sea of oil. If a Nuclear Power, such as Pakistan, were to move their armies across the border, the Iraqis wouldn't be able to stop them, and because they have access to Nuclear Weapons, we'd find it almost impossible to dislodge them.
Like others have mentioned, CONTROL of the oil is the key. While we can survive without Iraqi oil,... oil is really the currency of the world. Inspite of other means of power, armies still run on OIL! If a country doesn't have access to oil, its military might is severely compromised.
Controlling such a large amount of oil means that a military power, such as the USA, can have significant influence on any other nation's ability to win a war.
We don't have to take the oil. We just have to be sure that no other nation does!
Its our misfortune as Taxpayers, to be guided by shallow thinking leadership. This debacle is costing us a fortune.
Simply keeping the Iraqi Army intact would have had them policing their own country...instead of us trying to do it. This would have also meant that our kids wouldn't be facing battlehardened ex-Iraqi soldiers which make up a good portion of the "insurgency".
I understand that this tactic of using the police/army to control the country, is common knowledge among conquerer's. I'm sure our own Officer Corp suggested this and was over-ridden by their siuperiors....people with a notable lack of military experience...but with a nose for oil.
I may be wrong but, my rough calculation tells me that everytime our Government spends One Billion Dollars it costs me, average Joe Taxpayer, about $10. When they spend the money IN this country, it gets recirculated into the "economy". When the money is spent OUTSIDE the country, such as with a war,....its gone! Too much spending outside the country leads to deficits in the economy of the country. This shows up as deficits in the National Budget, because we spent more than we took in, and in Trade deficits, because we had to borrow from other nations.
We had to finance these extra expenditures (war) somehow. We can't just print more money. That would mean "inflation"... although that's probably in the near future. We had to borrow!
If we had gotten control of the Iraqi oil. everything thing probably would have showed a profit. (Its Plunder...this basis for war goes back past Alexander the Great and has been the main motivator of many conflicts...including this one. IMHO)
Unfortunately,....that leaves the USA between a "Rock and a Hard Place". Expensive to stay....Impossible to leave.
Gil
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By Mini42072, Bad12 at Nov 18, 2005 09:43 AM
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Re: US Failure in Iraq & Iraqi Opinion on Withdrawal
By K, Mr at Nov 09, 2005 16:20 PM
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Re: US Failure in Iraq & Iraqi Opinion on Withdrawal
By Cacioppo, Jonas at Nov 05, 2005 11:29 AM
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Re: US Failure in Iraq & Iraqi Opinion on Withdrawal
By H., O. at Oct 31, 2005 02:42 AM
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Re: US Failure in Iraq & Iraqi Opinion on Withdrawal
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By Flevente, Flevente at Oct 31, 2005 02:31 AM
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Re: US Failure in Iraq & Iraqi Opinion on Withdrawal
By H., O. at Oct 30, 2005 21:00 PM
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