Vermont’s Chance: Breaking the Two-Party Monopoly
Barack Obama is expected to win
Although September poll showed
Pollina says that the recent poll shows his momentum, and declining support for both of his opponents. If nothing changes,
What if the Obama surge, combined with a successful insurgent campaign here, moves Pollina up another 5 or 10 points between now and Election Day? It takes money, but it could happen. Pollina is arguably the strongest, best qualified Independent candidate for governor in almost a century.
As people wake up and realize what’s at stake there could be a snowball effect, making it anybody’s race. Specifically, it becomes even more than likely that no candidate will get 50 percent of the vote.
The legislature usually picks highest vote-getter but it’s not a rule. And the lawmakers – who are also elected, after all – get to use their own judgment. In 1976, they picked Republican Garry Buckley for Lieutenant Governor even though the Democrat had more votes.
It could happen. If Pollina gets more votes than Symington, the state legislature could face a fundamental choice – confirm an out-of-touch Republican, at a time when the state and country is rejecting the GOP “brand,” or vote for change.
"This is not the elephant in the room; this is the room,” says
Running for governor as a Progressive in 2000, Pollina received 9.5 percent in a crowded field led by incumbent governor Howard Dean, who won with 50.4 percent. Two years later, Pollina ran for Lt. Governor, again as a Progressive, receiving 24.8 percent of the vote in a three way race. This year, Pollina started his race again as a Progressive, but decided to change his affiliation to Independent in July. At a news conference on July 21, he said that running as an independent “is by far the best way” to build a coalition.
The Obama juggernaut will almost certainly send the governor's race to the Legislature, according to Nelson. "Barack Obama is going to win
If Symington and Pollina receive 60 percent of the vote combined,
Pollina, who has been endorsed by the Vermont State Employees Union, the
His immediate task is to prove to Vermonters that he can win. If he succeeds,
Greg Guma, a Vermont editor and author, is a former Executive Director of Pacifica Radio. His writing on politics and media can be found on Maverick Media (http://muckraker-gg.blogspot.com/).