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February 05, 2008
By
Stephen Shalom
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[This is the footnoted version of a presentation given to the Bloomfield/Glen Ridge Caucus organized by Bloomfield and Glen Ridge Peace Action, February 2, 2008]
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Table 1: Iraqi Public Opinion, August 2007
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How long do you think US and other coalition forces should remain in Iraq? They should:
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8/24/2007
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3/5/2007
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11/22/2005
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All
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Sunni
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Shiite
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Kurd
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All
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Sunni
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Shiite
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Kurd
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All
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Leave now
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47
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72
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44
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8
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35
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55
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28
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11
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26
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Remain until security is restored
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34
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27
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38
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36
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38
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41
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39
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28
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31
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Remain until the Iraqi government is stronger†
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10
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*
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10
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28
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14
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3
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18
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28
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19
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Remain until the Iraqi security forces can operate independently
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7
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1
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6
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18
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11
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1
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13
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24
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16
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Remain longer, but leave eventually
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2
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0
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1
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8
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2
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*
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2
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7
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3
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Never leave
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*
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0
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*
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2
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1
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0
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*
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2
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1
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No opinion
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*
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*
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*
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1
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*
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0
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*
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*
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4
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* Less than 0.5 percent.
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† In 2005, "Remain until the Iraqi government elected in December is in place"
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Source: ABC NEWS/BBC/NHK POLL - Iraq: Where Things Stand, Embargoed For Release After 7 a.m. Monday, Sept. 10, 2007, Iraqis' Own Surge Assessment: Few See Security Gains, Question 21, pp. 25-26, http://abcnews.go.com/images/US/1043a1IraqWhereThingsStand.pdf
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Table 2: Iraqi Public Opinion, August 2007
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Do you strongly support, somewhat support, somewhat oppose, or strongly oppose the presence of coalition forces in Iraq?
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--------Support--------
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---------Oppose--------
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No
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NET
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Strongly
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Somewhat
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NET
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Somewhat
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Strongly
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opin.
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8/24/2007
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21
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5
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16
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79
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26
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53
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*
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Sunni
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2
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*
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1
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98
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25
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73
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0
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Shiite
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16
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2
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15
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84
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30
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54
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0
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Kurdish
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70
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21
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48
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29
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20
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9
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1
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3/5/2007
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22
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6
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16
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78
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32
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46
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*
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Sunni
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3
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*
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3
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97
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29
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68
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0
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Shiite
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17
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2
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15
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83
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39
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44
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0
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Kurdish
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75
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28
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47
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25
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21
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4
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*
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11/22/2005
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32
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13
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19
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65
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21
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44
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3
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2/28/2004
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39
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13
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26
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51
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20
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31
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10
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* Less than 0.5 percent.
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Source: ABC NEWS/BBC/NHK POLL - Iraq: Where Things Stand, Embargoed For Release After 7 a.m. Monday, Sept. 10, 2007, Iraqis' Own Surge Assessment: Few See Security Gains, Question 19, pp. 24-25, http://abcnews.go.com/images/US/1043a1IraqWhereThingsStand.pdf
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Table 3: Iraqi Public Opinion, August 2007
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As you may know, the United States has increased the number of its forces in Baghdad and surrounding provinces in the past six months. For each item I read, please tell me if you think this increase in US forces has made it better, made it worse, or had no effect.
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Do you think this increase in US forces has made [read category] better, worse, or had no effect?
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8/24/2007
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Better
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Worse
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Had no effect
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No opinion
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a. Security in areas where these forces have been sent
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18
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70
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11
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*
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Sunni
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6
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89
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6
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0
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Shiite
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22
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66
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11
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*
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Kurdish
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33
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43
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23
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1
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b. Security in other areas of Iraq
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12
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68
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20
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*
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Sunni
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5
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86
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9
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0
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Shiite
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13
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64
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23
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*
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Kurdish
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22
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48
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28
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2
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c. Conditions for political dialogue in Iraq
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10
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70
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20
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*
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Sunni
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1
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85
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14
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0
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Shiite
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12
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66
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22
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*
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Kurdish
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20
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55
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24
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1
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d. The ability of the Iraqi government to carry out its work.
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12
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65
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22
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*
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Sunni
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2
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79
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19
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0
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Shiite
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16
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63
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21
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0
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Kurdish
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22
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47
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30
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1
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e. The pace of reconstruction in Iraq
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9
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67
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24
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*
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Sunni
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3
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78
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19
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0
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Shiite
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11
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66
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23
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0
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Kurdish
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11
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52
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37
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1
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f. The pace of economic development in Iraq
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6
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67
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26
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*
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Sunni
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3
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79
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18
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*
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Shiite
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9
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67
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24
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*
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Kurdish
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5
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49
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45
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1
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* Less than 0.5 percent.
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Source: ABC NEWS/BBC/NHK POLL - Iraq: Where Things Stand, Embargoed For Release After 7 a.m. Monday, Sept. 10, 2007, Iraqis' Own Surge Assessment: Few See Security Gains, Question 20, p. 25, http://abcnews.go.com/images/US/1043a1IraqWhereThingsStand.pdf
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Table 4: Iraqi Public Opinion, August 2007
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Overall, do you think the presence of US forces in Iraq is making security in our country better, worse, or having no effect on the situation?
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Better
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Worse
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No effect
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No opinion
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8/24/2007
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18
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72
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9
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*
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Sunni
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2
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95
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3
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0
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Shiite
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17
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73
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10
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0
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Kurdish
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53
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28
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17
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2
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3/5/2007
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21
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69
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10
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*
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Sunni
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2
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94
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4
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0
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Shiite
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19
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71
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10
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*
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Kurdish
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67
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15
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18
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0
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* Less than 0.5 percent.
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Source: ABC NEWS/BBC/NHK POLL - Iraq: Where Things Stand, Embargoed For Release After 7 a.m. Monday, Sept. 10, 2007, Iraqis' Own Surge Assessment: Few See Security Gains, Question 22, p. 26, http://abcnews.go.com/images/US/1043a1IraqWhereThingsStand.pdf
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Table 5: Iraqi Public Opinion, August 2007
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Thinking about the political action of other people, do you find each of these items to be acceptable or not acceptable?
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a. Attacks on coalition forces
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Accept-
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Not
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No
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able
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acceptable
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opinion
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8/24/2007
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57
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43
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*
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Sunni
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93
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7
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*
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Shiite
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50
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50
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0
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Kurdish
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5
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94
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1
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3/5/2007
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51
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49
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*
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Sunni
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94
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6
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0
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Shiite
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35
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65
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*
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Kurdish
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7
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93
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0
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2/28/2004
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17
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78
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5
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b. Attacks on Iraqi government forces
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Accept-
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Not
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No
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able
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acceptable
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opin.
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8/24/2007
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7
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93
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*
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Sunni
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18
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82
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0
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Shiite
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2
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98
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*
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Kurdish
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2
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97
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1
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3/5/2007
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12
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88
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0
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Sunni
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34
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66
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0
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Shiite
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1
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99
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0
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Kurdish
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1
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99
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0
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* Less than 0.5 percent.
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Source: ABC NEWS/BBC/NHK POLL - Iraq: Where Things Stand, Embargoed For Release After 7 a.m. Monday, Sept. 10, 2007, Iraqis' Own Surge Assessment: Few See Security Gains, Question 23, pp. 26-27, http://abcnews.go.com/images/US/1043a1IraqWhereThingsStand.pdf
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Table 6: Iraqi Public Opinion, August 2007
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I am going to name a number of organizations. For each one, please tell me if you have a great deal of confidence, quite a lot of confidence, not very much confidence, or none at all...
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-------Confident--------
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---Not confident---
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No
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Net
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Great deal
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A lot
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Net
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Not much
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None
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Opinion
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The Iraqi Army
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8/24/2007
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67
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23
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43
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33
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21
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12
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0
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Sunni
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34
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7
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27
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66
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34
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32
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0
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Shiite
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84
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29
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54
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16
|
15
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1
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0
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Kurdish
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80
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38
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43
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20
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16
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4
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0
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The Police
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8/24/2007
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69
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33
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36
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31
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17
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15
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0
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Sunni
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37
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9
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28
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63
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26
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37
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0
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Shiite
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84
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43
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40
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16
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12
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4
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0
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Kurdish
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86
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47
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39
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14
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11
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3
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0
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US & UK Occupation Forces
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8/24/2007
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14
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4
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11
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86
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27
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58
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0
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Sunni
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1
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*
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1
|
99
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19
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79
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0
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Shiite
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9
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1
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8
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91
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32
|
59
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0
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Kurdish
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53
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18
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34
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47
|
30
|
17
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0
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3/5/2007
|
18
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6
|
12
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82
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30
|
52
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*
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Sunni
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3
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0
|
3
|
97
|
18
|
80
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0
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Shiite
|
12
|
3
|
9
|
88
|
42
|
46
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0
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Kurdish
|
67
|
26
|
41
|
33
|
24
|
9
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*
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11/22/2005
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18
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7
|
11
|
78
|
23
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55
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5
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2/28/2004
|
25
|
8
|
17
|
66
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23
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43
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8
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11/15/2003
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19
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7
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12
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71
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20
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52
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9
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Local Leaders in Your Community
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8/24/2007
|
46
|
11
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36
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53
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34
|
20
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*
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Sunni
|
20
|
1
|
19
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80
|
41
|
39
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0
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Shiite
|
56
|
11
|
46
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43
|
33
|
10
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*
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Kurdish
|
72
|
30
|
42
|
28
|
19
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9
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*
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National Government of Iraq
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8/24/2007
|
39
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11
|
28
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61
|
31
|
30
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0
|
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Sunni
|
4
|
1
|
3
|
96
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32
|
64
|
0
|
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Shiite
|
58
|
17
|
41
|
42
|
30
|
12
|
0
|
|
Kurdish
|
54
|
13
|
41
|
46
|
31
|
15
|
0
|
|
3/5/2007
|
49
|
18
|
31
|
51
|
27
|
24
|
0
|
|
Sunni
|
8
|
1
|
7
|
92
|
36
|
56
|
0
|
|
Shiite
|
72
|
30
|
42
|
28
|
22
|
6
|
0
|
|
Kurdish
|
73
|
18
|
55
|
27
|
19
|
8
|
0
|
|
11/22/2005
|
53
|
23
|
30
|
41
|
25
|
16
|
6
|
|
Local Militia in this Area
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
8/24/2007
|
24
|
11
|
13
|
68
|
26
|
43
|
8
|
|
Sunni
|
2
|
*
|
1
|
93
|
27
|
66
|
6
|
|
Shiite
|
32
|
12
|
20
|
67
|
30
|
36
|
1
|
|
Kurdish
|
41
|
28
|
13
|
24
|
13
|
11
|
35
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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* = less than 0.5 percent
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